Valruzia

[Aethan]

Latest poll show a three-way race in what may be the closest election since return to democracy

May 5689

Seven parties are predicted to get seats in Valruzian parliament

---

With a bit more than six months until the next Valruzian legislative elections, pollsters are already showing a close three-way race between the ruling Communist Party of Valruzia, Sovereign Valruzia and Forward Valruzia. And according to the very same pollsters, the centre-right of Forward Valruzia might be on its course to get its best result in two decades, while the KPW might see an unprecedent decline in support, losing in the span of a decade half of its voters by going from more than 50% to around 24%.

But that's not the only breaking news from the latest poll released by Valruzia Elects. If confirmed in a few months, it would mean that for the first time since the 5630 elections, the very first elections in modern democratic Valruzia, the seats of the KPW and Sovereign Valruzia would not be enough to reach the 301-seat threshold, and unprecedented event. 

According to political experts, the surge in support for the conservative Forward Valruzia can be traced back to the election of President Urszula Pawlik, who althoug officially independent gathered the support and endorsement of the conservative party. Her popularity and closeness to the people might have shown Valruzians that there are other alternatives to the SW-KPW duopoly of Valruzian politics during decades.

On the other hand, this result would also be the best one in over two decades for Sovereign Valruzia, which since Szymon Nowik's departure from politics has struggled to find its place, even under the leadership of Nowik's daughter Klaudia. Now, led by Krystian Barela, the party seems to have found again its strength, especially in the regions of Valusia and Ruzia, which used to be its strongholds.

The future looks bleaker for the current Valruzian Chancellor, Roksana Parzych, if the poll trends are confirmed, as it would mean that in the span of two elections, the KPW would have lost around 20 million votes. Therefore, despite remaining the leading force, it is to be expected that critical voices will begin to emerge regarding its current leadership. Worse still, it may be necessary to seek new forms of government, as the KPW-SW majority that has saved the day so many times in extremis from a repeat election may not be possible after the next elections.

“The KPW had a lot of votes borrowed from Sovereign Valruzia, but now it seems that many are "returning home"” says political scientist Marcia Stronvik. "It's interesting because although we are seeing a sharp decline in support for the KPW, this does not correspond to a net gain for Workers' Vanguard, the party that a priori should be picking up those disenchanted communist votes, but which is seeing little improvement in its voting intentions."

Valruzian Alliance, the far-right political party, continues its downward trend, and would reach its floor result. Already questioned by the previous electoral results, its leader Bianka Turczyn is already feeling the tension brewing behind her back.

With the electoral campaign expected to kick off in a few months, around September, parties are already well aware about internal polls, and movements to place the right candidates have already started. For the Communist Party, many inside are already grappling their mind around the idea that they will lose at least two regional governors – they have been holding all five presidencies of the Voivodeships since 5670, a span of two decades – but they say the main test will be the Kampanian results, their traditional and most popular stronghold. "When the pollings from Kampania start to come, we will decide our course of action".