Amudim

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Le Temps d'Eroncourt (Lourenne)

ישלם טיימס | Le Temps de Yishelem

Prof. Na'ari remarks upon the Changing World Order

September 5567

Yishelem, Beiteynu - "Looking at the past and history's endless cycles of rising and falling nations, organisations and empires", Prof. Na'ari said in her opening remark with one of our journalists, "you can see certain patterns emerging, especially when things rise and when things fall".

Prof. Na'ari was the leading author behind the "The Changing World Order", which was published by the Neset Institute of Yishelem - the Yeudi Homeland's and the Yeudish Neset's main "repository" of diplomats.

So we took her out on a fancy dinner, where she laid out her points for us.

"After all, the macro is but a reflection of the micro; we are born, we strive for accomplishments, we make connections to accomplish our goals and we change and adapt as others follow the same trajectory, just like us".

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First, we can observe that Dorvik was at a certain high point in 5200. Let's call that Point C. At the first half of that century, Beiteynu began using a number of geopolitical situations to get from a localised sphere to a more regional one by 5250.

Thus, we have a first possible pattern: to get from Point A to Point B, it seems that one needs to leverage geopolitical opportunities.

Meanwhile, Dorvik scaled back to Point B. We can verify that by contrasting the regional spheres of influence of both nations against the increasing tensions of one attempting to interfere in the other's sphere.

Case and point, Luthori, Kundrati and the notorious Migrant's Pass.

Our second pattern: a rising Point B is ultimately bound to challenge Point Cs.

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Then we reach 5300. Something different happens here. Beiteynu jumps from Point B to Point C, at which point one could argue that what Dorvik was for Artania, Beiteynu became for Majatra. The restoration of a Yeudi controlled MSCO seems to attest to that.

Here's our third pattern: a Point C seems to include a firm grasp of continental influence, and even beyond.

But the question of getting there remains, which seems that it can only be answered by the expanse of diplomatic and economic relations. Simply put, Beiteynu, and Dorvik before that, expanded their reach and implanted themselves on international markets.

And that's our fourth pattern: to get from Point B to Point C, it seems that one needs to establish its own international network.

At the same time, Lourenne begins jumping from Point A to Point B, ultimately bound to challenge the new Point C.

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By 5350, Beiteynu had become a monstrosity. We can call that Point D. But how does that work? What constitutes either the transition from Point C to Point D and Point D itself? 

We believe its currency and how one's currency is ultimately used everywhere via trade. That's our fifth pattern.

Beiteynu had become the single biggest and undisputed trade player globally.

At the same time, we can see Lourenne jumping to Point C - remember the WDU and the United Kingdom's naval expansions at the time? Luthori ultimately jumps to Point B, piggybacking on the state of affairs that Beiteynu had created, just like Beiteynu had done with Dorvik.

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By 5400, the LFR came into play - our fifth pattern - putting Lourenne firmly at Point D. While Majatra was plagued by two major crises, Deltaria, using our first pattern of leveraging geopolitical situations, rose from Point A to Point B.

By now, we can start reading the rising ones by our five patterns.

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And in 5450 - 5500, the War of Lost Souls between Beiteynu and Lourenne happened, as both clashed for Point E. We'll get back to Point E in just a moment. What happened after the war?

Beiteynu traded its currency with Lourenne's LFR. The reverse fifth pattern. Our seventh pattern.

Our sixth pattern? Point E. A single undisputed global leader that rises out of Point Ds battling it out.

We can probably surmise four more declining patterns, now.

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Thus, our patterns:

1. RISE - Leveraging geopolitical events to pursue your goals
   
2. RISE - Challenging regional players
   
3. RISE - Establishing your own international network
   
4. RISE - Attaining firm grasp of your continent
   
5. RISE - Reaching a level where your currency is used in transactions almost everywhere
   
6. Become the world's leader by pushing out your equals
   
7. FALL - Your trade and currency is replaced with another's
   
8. FALL - Your grasp of your continent diminishes
   
9. FALL - Your network fades into the background
   
10. FALL - Your position is challenged by others
    
11. FALL - Your leverage on geopolitical events is lost to others
    

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All in all, it seems that Beiteynu is definitely on our 10th pattern with the rise of the 3rd Point Federation and the Jelbic Empire and is firmly on track to reach the 11th, as opportunities such as the current one in Istalia are leveraged by others against Beiteynu.

Lourenne, on the other hand, stands firmly on the 6th pattern, with no one remotely close to the 4th, with the only candidates being the same aforementioned two, curiously supported by Beiteynu.

For the 3rd pattern, we can only observe Lodamun and Kalistan from Seleya, Xsampa from Dovani and Narikaton and Darnussia from Artania.

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What's the most relevant pattern for your nation, at present?

And more importantly; what has fate next in store for it?

@NesetInstituteOfYishelem