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Elections 5653: Giunio reconfirmed! Center-right wins again and strengthens in Congress

PNL and D&L gain ground, the Greens are the third party of the country, while New Communists and Alleance of Autonomies collapse

Composition of the new National Congress
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October 5653

ROMULA - The final results from the Ministry of Internal Affairs have arrived, but already during the night, with the counting still underway, it was clear to many who would celebrate and who would not. 5653 elections ended with a new, powerful victory for the center-right coalition, a reconfirmation of Valeriano Giunio at the helm of the government.

For the Minister Secretary of State, this is the second consecutive victory, and this time with even more solid numbers. The National Liberal Party (PNL) gains 14 seats compared to the previous legislature, reaching 210 (144 civilians and 66 military). The Republican Liberal Party (PLR) also did well, rising to 7 seats. But the most surprising result was that of Democracy & Freedom (D&L), which with 20 seats (13 civilians and 7 military) established itself as the big winner of the center-right, strong in the role it played as external support to the Giunio government in the previous legislature.

The Democratic Hosian Union (UOD) paid the price, stopping at 29 total seats (23 civilians and 6 military), recording a strong decline of ten points. According to numerous analysts, the electorate punished the party for a perceived obstructionist attitude towards programs largely shared by its allies, as well as for the loss of political centrality compared to the dynamism shown by D&L.

Decisive factors in the vote were the reform of the regions, obviously, the increase in economic growth recorded in the last five semesters and a sharp drop in the unemployment rate. Public opinion has largely associated these positive results with the action of the Giunio government, reinforcing its legitimacy. Analysts, however, point out that these results are also due to reforms previously initiated by center-left governments and which are now bearing fruit.

In the progressive camp, the picture is varied. The most resounding defeat was suffered by the Party of New Communists (PNC), which went from 30 to 18 seats (17 civilians and 1 military), a sign of a clear rejection by the electorate. Their proposals, judged by some experts to be "interesting but too bold", were swept away by an economic context that played against the critical narrative. The opposition of the reform of the regions weakened furthermore the party.

The Socialist Democratic Party (PSD), on the other hand, remained stable, obtaining 153 seats (114 civilians and 39 military), while the Greens' Movement (MdV), which rose to 31 seats, recorded a truly historic result, overtaking PNC and also UOD, becoming the third party of the country, even without the contribution of military parlamentarians. The data clearly indicate that much of the decline of the PNC was translated into ecologist votes but also that a growing interest for ecological issues is growing and spreading. The fact that recently Green governments, functioning and attracting the electorate with relative fortune in other countries, like Kalopia and just few months ago Hutori, undoubtedly contributed to MdV success too. Economic issues were also crucial for the Greens, as they too stood out with critical positions towards the government but proposing decidedly more acceptable solutions, focused on circular economy systems, realistic programs about renowable energies and social responsibility for the markets.

The hardest blow at the polls, however, came for the Alliance of Autonomies (AdA), which was reduced to only 4 seats. The internal divisions, the growing radicalization and the "counteroffensive" represented by the reform of the regions implemented by Giunio in response to territorial tensions, which took away political space from the autonomist narrative, weighed heavily.

The new Congress is completed by three independents: two Alarian nationalists-independentists and a Feranese of Majatran origins, Omar Garufo, which already announced that he will form his own parliamentary group, called "Minorities for Concordia". The latter, although a non practicing Hosian, presented himself to represents the istances of the Majatran minority, although he was followed by criticism from the more conservative Ahmadi positions among the Majatrans, and not even for his being from a hosian family, but for being too liberal and progressive.

The vote of the Armed Forces played, as usual, a significant role. For the first time, 5 military parliamentarians were elected in the ranks of D&L, a sign of the growing harmony between the military apparatus and the centrist-liberal party, and their vote also contributed decisively to the downsizing of UOD and PNC.

The new scenario, therefore, significantly strengthens the center-right coalition, which will now be able to count on an expanded majority, with more cohesive allies and a less fragmented parliamentary scenario. The downsized UOD will most likely be more reconcilable. On the other hand, D&L has the prospect of entering the government, a step that internal voices now consider imminent, after an entire legislature of external support. Great satisfaction also for the Greens, who are celebrating the best result in their history and an increasingly central role in the progressive panorama.

This the distribution of seats of the 9th National Congress:

National Liberal Party (PNL): (144 civilians + 66 military) 210

Socialist Democratic Party (PSD): (114 + 39) 153

Greens' Movement (MdV): 31

Osiano-Democratic Union (UOD): (23 + 6) 29

Democracy & Freedom (D&L): (13 + 7) 20

New Communist Party (PNC): (17 + 1) 18

Party of Republican Freedom (PLR): 7

Alliance of Autonomies (AdA): 4

Independents: 3

The Minister Secretary of State is therefore ready to answer the call of Quattroregni Palace, which given the results should not be long in coming. Valeriano Giunio will certainly form a new executive, to make room for the now considered certain entry of D&L.

Strengthened by this confirmation that has the feel of an investiture, with a significantly larger majority, experts and analysts expect even more incisive liberal reforms. Some within D&L already aspire to privatizations, industrial ones as well as in public services, aspirations that are in any case too enthusiastic for UOD which, although downsized, still represents the second party in the coalition. Giunio will certainly have to work more intensely to balance the positions and this time the PRL, strengthened by its growth and by the entry into the government of D&L, will not be too willing to act as a negotiator or scale down its proposals.