Sulari Observers' Market, Periodic Contracts

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Sulari Observers Market

Terms

• The Observers Market is a Public Regulated, private speculation market Governed by the Kalistani Bookmakers Association. The KBA both computes the money line daily and insures all contracts in association with the Bank of Suldanor, located in Sulari, Duchy of Suldanor.
  
• All contracts are due for payment according to the terms of the contract upon expiration of contract. The KBA does not accept purchase of contracts on spec, though the use of agents located in Sulari is permitted. The KBA earns 4% Vigorish on all contracts as a service fee for insurance, and Vigored Pools are divided among winning contracts based on their stake in the pool, with all losses covered by those who fail. Contracts are decided at close of business on the last day of the contract, and the final price is based on the final contract call on the floor of the Sulari Observers Market Exchange in Downtown Sulari, Duchy of Suldanor.
  
• Short position moneylines are not listed here, but information, including moneyline on the Short positions is available when the contracts go up for bid daily in Sulari. All other moneyline, implied and fractional odds, and information for all other international and domestic futures contracts are public and are available upon request from the Kalistani Bookmakers Association.
  
• All investments involve risk, and no investment guarantees a return on investment. This market is a purely speculative pari-mutuel market. While it is audited annually and regulated by Her Imperial Majesty's Ministry of Finance, and adheres to best practices of the KBA and the Bank of Suldanor, who insures all contracts, it is essentially gambling against the future, which is unknown: These moneylines are the KBA's best forecast of chances of improvement in ratings scores in the future, and, as a pari-mutuel, the moneyline continues to fluctuate as more people buy in and sell out of the contract over its life. Invest in the Sulari Observers' Market with a clear head.
  
• All bids in the Sulari Observers Markets are in Kalistani Imperial Rubles (K$).
  

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Sulari Observers' Market Report

This is the Report of the Sulari Observers Market for 12 Month Contracts closing October 31, 5716. The following is the Moneyline for each nation. This sample is not exhausted. This view is the Long Term (12 month) Long Position Contract on futures.

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Conservative Contracts

• Xsampa -605
  
• Egelion -505
  
• Ananto and Kalistan -374
  
• Lodamun -362
  
• Valruzia -342
  
• Wrnuke -322
  
• Hutori -313
  

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Moderate Contracts

• Mordusia -294
  
• Luthori -212
  
• Dundorf -188
  
• Seko -177
  
• Nadiya -167
  
• Amudim -143
  
• Utaristan -127
  
• Dorvik -123
  
• New Englia -116
  
• Bianjie -116
  
• Vascania -113
  
• Vorona -109
  
• Kundrati +173
  
• Midway +177
  
• Selucia +193
  

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Aggressive Contracts

• Temania +353
  
• Medina +363
  
• Yerrawa +397
  
• South Dovani +476
  
• Rapa Pile +1102
  

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Analysis

According to Sulari Bookmakers, The safe money for the first batch of 12 months Contracts focuses on the Anantonese Region, as well as Xsampa, Hutori and Wrnuke, as both hallmarks of Stability, and who represent the best potential for improvement within the next year. At the start of the Contract, an investor who invested K$3.74 would earn aproximately K$4.74- Not great potential for huge profit, but a very safe bet.

The moderate contracts are where there will be better profits, but also investors will expreience elevated risks. These nations are primarily concentrated in Artania and Dovani: Artania because they are dumping a high amount of their respective GDPs into military spending, not only depriving other aspects of their economy of funds, but also decreasing the security of adjacent territories. Here, for example, In New Englia a K$1.16 bet would earn K$2.16 at the end of the contract: Better profit, but there is also a greater risk of loss. In a place like Kundrati, a K$1.00 bet would earn K$2.72, reflecting even more risk, but greater profits if the Long Contract pays off.

The most aggressive bets are, as predicted, in the least stable, most underdeveloped nations, in Southern Dovani, which is undergoing a series of government and social instability at the moment, as well as Rapa Pile, which is seen by Kalistani investors as a basket case, a fully occupied colony of an oil giant Vascania, which is not seen as improving the lives of the residents for many decades. (Whether it is or not is inconsequential, that is the perspective from Sulari.) A K$1.00 bet in Sulari at the beginning of this contract will yield K$12.02 at the end of the contract. There is significant risk there on the long contracts as it is a much safer bet to sell that contract short and rake in the cash, but a +1102 moneyline means some of the more gutsy bettors will eventually jump into the Rapa Pile contract, which is a risk in and of itself.

Generally speaking, good government, stability, security, and development works against those who are trying to make money by betting against a Government, but those seeking to make quick profits might either bet some of these riskier bets, or try the shorter term contracts which have both more volatility, but also better payouts if long or short contracts pay off.

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